Abstract: The Tangshan 1976' earthquake (M = 7.8) has caused the extensive soil liquefaction in the broad Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan plain region resulting in a severe damage. For this reason we have to estimate whether the liquefaction would happen during the future shocks that should be an important basis for proposing the measures of reduction of seismic hazard. As is well known, the engineering construction is in urgent need of the comprehensive prediction of liquefaction. Usually, the conventional geological or experimental methods could only give the predictable indications in the cases of simple and less factors. This paper statistically predicts the soil liquefaction on the basis of the measured and tested data during the engineering exploration.Using the method of stepwise discrimination analysis of Beyes’ criterion 13 and 15 variances selected from the liquidated and unliquidated localities can be used as correlation calculations in five ways. The variance pattern with the highest accuracy and confidence is chosen to predict the liquefaction at a location to be a VI11 level in intensity. The five kinds of prediction are in a close agreement and can be proved each other. Moreover, the maximum probability posterior of grouped samples is mostly above 0.99 with high confidence. In such a case, the extrapolated results are reliable.