Abstract:

Based on the observation of Horgos mud volcanoes from 1991 to 2006,the article points out the relation between activities of those mud volcanoes and mid-strong earthquakes in Xinjiang,which can be used to predict occurrence time and magnitude of future earthquake to a certain extent,and advises extending the mud volcano observation for more meaningful data.Finally,the article lists three possible reasons why the activities of those mud volcanoes have a good correlation to mid-strong earthquakes.The first re

Key words: mud volcano, mid-strong earthquake, pulsation, Xinjiang, Horgos

摘要：

基于1991—2006年间对新疆霍尔果斯泥火山的系统观测,初步发现了泥火山活动与新疆地区中强以上地震的活动具有较好的对应关系,且对预测未来地震的发震时间及震级都有一定的指导意义,如能对泥火山的动态进行长期监测,会得到更加有研究意义的资料;并认为泥火山具有一定的映震性能的原因可能与该泥火山处于中强以上地震活动的近震源区、构造上处于霍尔果斯背斜轴部及泥火山物质来自地层相对深处等有关

关键词: 泥火山, 中强地震, 脉冲现象, 新疆, 霍尔果斯