Abstract: The correlations between large earthquakes in China continent and periodicities of the Moon's movement and the solar activity are statistically analysed and the following points are revealed:1. The earthquakes with ≥7.5 in Qing-Zang fault-block region have 18.6-yr periodicity of the Moon's nodes motion.2. The earthquakes with M≥7.1 in Xinjiang fault-block region have 8.85-yr periodicity of the Moon's perigee motion.3. The earthquakes with M≥7.0 in China mainland have the tendency to cluster around times of minima of sunspot cycles and in the even solar cycles.4. The earthquakes with M≥8.0 in China continent have the tendency to cluster around the valley times of the secular cycles of the solar activity.According to above correlations,the prediction of seismicity tendency can be given as follows: In China continent,especially Western China,the current active seismic period should continue up to the end of this century. The next active period would be 2006—2015.

Key words: Ascending node, Perigee, Solar activity, Seismicity

摘要： 分析中国大陆大地震与月球运动和太阳活动周期的相关性,发现:青藏断块区的M≥7.5地震活动与18.6年月球交点运动周期相关;新疆断块区的M≥7.1地震活动与8.85年月球近地点运动周期相关,整个中国大陆的M≥7.0地震有在太阳黑子周谷期附近以及在太阳周双周内多发的趋势;M≥8的中国大地震还有集中发生在太阳活动世纪周峰、谷值年代附近的趋势。依据这些相关性作出了地震活动趋势预测:中国大陆,特别是西部地区,这一个地震活跃期可能延续至本世纪末,下一个活跃期估计是2006—2015年。

关键词: 升交点, 近地点, 太阳活动, 地震活动