Strike-slip fault are the active faults that are most closely related to large earthquakes. The study on how a large earthquake develops and occurs on strike-slip faults is an issue much concerned with the seismologists. As it is shown by structural geology studies, strike-slip faults are a complex tectonic system, which represents combination of various types of deformation under the shearing forces. Based on the research cases of various strike-slip fault zones both at home and abroad, this paper investigates and summarizes the geometry, kinematics and evolution processes of continuous or discontinuous strike-slip faults and analyzes the hinge role of the strike-slip faults. It is found that the hinge axis area is subject to intense compression, and the area is locked, where stress is concentrated, strain is localized, and earthquakes nucleate and develop. When the locked hinge axis is broken through, unstable sliding will occur along the strike-slip fault, producing sudden big displacement, accompanied with large earthquake. In the stepover zones of discontinuous strike-slip faults, earthquakes of corresponding size and type will develop and occur according to the relevant stress fields and rupture mechanics.
This paper studies the temporal and spatial distribution of global great earthquakes(MW≥8.0)since 1900.We compare two periods of upsurges of great earthquakes occurring in the middle of last century and beginning of this century. The former took place between 1950 and 1965 when 13 great earthquakes(MW≥8.0)occurred,including 3 events with moment magnitude greater than 9.0.The maximum magnitude in this period reached 9.6.The later period starts since the beginning of this century. In less than 12 years,15 great earthquakes have attacked the world with the largest magnitude of MW 9.1.On the basis of comparison of these two upsurges of global earthquake activities,we postulate that the ongoing high level of earthquake activity may continue for another 5 years or so. Numerous great earthquakes(MW≥8.0)and many large earthquakes(MW 6~7)will occur globally in this 5 years. In addition,this paper also discusses the relationships between earthquake activities along the Sumatra segment of the Indian-Australia plate boundary and that in the Bayankala block in the middle of the Tibetan plateau as well as the plateau itself. The results indicate that Tibetan plateau,especially its middle and southern parts are the likely places for future earthquakes of magnitude over 7.
The great Haiyuan earthquake occurred at 20: 06: 09 on December 16,1920 in the southern Ningxia Autonomous Region.The magnitude of this earthquake is 8.5 which is listed as one of the three greatest earthquakes occurring in continental China.This devastating earthquake killed about 230,000 people according to previous reports.Recent studies show that total casualty might have reached 270,000. Study on this earthquake using modern scientific and technological methods is the first in the history of earthquake research in China that sets up the monument in China's earthquake science.Significant breakthrough took place in the 80s of last century.The earthquake surface rupture,with 200km in length and prominent left-lateral strike-slip displacement,was discovered.The first monograph on the Haiyuan earthquake was published.The innovative technology of large-scale geological mapping of active faults was developed during studies on the Haiyuan earthquake surface ruptures with the publication of the first large-scale map of the Haiyaun active fault.Quantitative studies were carried out on fine structures and geometry of the fault zone,Holocene slip rate,co-seismic displacement,paleoearthquake and recurrence interval of great earthquake,and future earthquake risk assessment.The innovative studies also include rupture propagation along strike-slip fault,evolution of pull-apart basin,determination of total offset across the strike-slip fault,transition equilibrium between strike-slip displacement along its major strand and crustal shortening at its end of the strike-slip fault,and the mechanism of deformation on the Liupanshan Mountains.On the occasion of the 90th anniversary of the tragic Haiyuan earthquake,the careful retrospect in scientific progresses achieved during past 20 years would lead to further directions in the studies of active faults and earthquake hazard reduction,so that we can console those killed by the Haiyuan earthquake and put forward our efforts toward earthquake prediction and seismic hazard reduction.