A significant seismic swarm occurred in Yigong, Bomi, Tibet, in July and August of 2020. 25 earthquakes with ML≥4.0 occurred during about 30 days and the magnitude of the maximum earthquake reached ML4.9(hereinafter referred to as the Bomi swarm). The proportion of large to small earthquakes in Bomi swarm is unbalanced, the number of earthquakes with larger magnitude is somewhat higher, and the proportionality coefficient, b value, of Gutenberg-Richter relationship is about 0.3, obviously smaller than the average b value of 1.0 of the whole seismic sequence. The seismicity of Bomi swarm has two dense stages, one is from July 19 to August 1 and another is from August 8 to 18, few earthquakes occurred between these two stages. For spatial distribution of earthquakes, the main areas of earthquake distribution in these two stages are almost overlapped. However, comparing with the previous stage, the southern boundary of the dense distribution of earthquakes in the latter stage has an extending trend to SE direction. The focal mechanism and the centroid depths of 20 earthquakes with ML≥4.0 have been calculated by CAP method. Results show that the centroid depths are shallow, most of them are distributed in the range of 3~4km. Viewing from the focal mechanism, taken July 27, 28 as the time boundary, the focal mechanisms before that time are mainly thrust with strike-slip component, the strike directions of nodal planes are inconsistent. After that time, the focal mechanism shows a good consistency with near EW-trending tensile rupture.
The retroactive statistical results on historical earthquake catalogue have shown that earthquakes in Bomi region mostly occurred during July and August, indicating the obvious seasonal characteristics, and earthquakes mainly concentrated in a very small area(about 15km×20km)in space. The magnitude of maximum earthquake in each year is generally stable in the range of ML4.5~5.0, the annual average seismic energy release is roughly equivalent to one earthquake with ML4.9. It should be pointed out that swarms or significant earthquakes do not occur every year. During a total of 51 years from 1970 to 2020, significant swarms or earthquakes with ML≥4.0 occurred only in 18 years, accounting for about 35% of total time period.
The correlation between seasonal meteorological factors and the seismicity in Bomi region is studied in this paper and the results show that there is a close but very complex relationship between them. Generally, the seismicity in Bomi region is closely related to the rainfall intensity and precipitation process in the first half of the year. The swarms mainly occurred during the periods with the peak precipitation, and generally followed the end of the first significant precipitation process in the year. The contrastive analysis shows that the strength of the seismicity is qualitatively proportional to the starting time of precipitation above designated scale, the days of precipitation above designated scale during the first half year, as well as the increasing rate of precipitation from April to June. Specificly, the earlier the starting time of precipitation above designated scale, the more the number of days with precipitation above designated scale in the first half of the year, the longer the time interval from the starting of the precipitation above designated scale to the seismicity, the higher the increasing rate of the monthly average precipitation from April to June, and the more the expected rainfall in June, the higher the seismicity level of this year will be.
Bomi swarm is located to the north of Jiali fault zone and obviously off the Jiali fault zone. The seismicity in Bomi region is not the result of the fault activity of the Jiali fault zone, nor is related to the aftershock activity of Milin M6.9 earthquake in 2017, which occurred about 44km south of Jiali fault zone, since there is no obvious tectonic correlation among of them. Viewing from the geographical terrain, the seismicity in Bomi region mainly concentrated in the middle part of the NE-trending Lequ Zangbo River and its branches on both sides. Due to the lower terrain, it becomes an area for fast convergence of water from surrounding regions in the summer, which provides the basic conditions for fluid-triggered earthquakes in July and August every year. The lithology in the earthquake densely distributed area is mainly quartz sandstone and siltstone with relatively higher permeability, which is convenient for fluid penetration and leads to the pore pressure increasing in shallow crustal medium, thus, is liable to trigger seismicity. The local area with dense earthquake distribution in Bomi region is truncated and confined by several faults. The faults may act as a “water-retaining wall”, which has a certain confining effect on water infiltration and diffusion. On the other side, the faults, especially for normal faults, have better fluid conductivity, which is convenient for fluid infiltrating rapidly. Under the action of both the gravity and load pressure of the surface water, the fluid infiltrates rapidly along the fracture zone and the sandstone-like rock medium with good permeability, resulting in the rapid increase of the pore pressure in the underground cracks, faults and porous medium, therefore leading to the decrease of the strength for faults or cracks, and consequently triggering the seismicity. Considering the contribution of accumulated precipitation, groundwater level change, as well as warming and snowmelt to surface water level uplift in the first half of the year, the temporal variation of pore pressure at different depths are simulated by the numerical methods under the simplified conditions. The simulation results support the mechanism explanation on seismicity in Bomi region proposed in the paper.
After a large earthquake, more seismic activities are observed in the focal region and its adjacent area. The obvious increased earthquakes are called the aftershocks. Generally speaking, aftershock sequence gradually weakens and sometimes has ups and downs. The time when the aftershock activity begins to be confused with background seismic activity is known as the aftershock activity duration. Aftershock sequence is one of the enduring research fields in seismology. Aftershocks accord with two important statistical relationships, one is the G-R relationship describing the relation between the magnitude and frequency, the other is the modified Omori formula describing the characteristics of aftershock decay with time. On this basis, a number of studies from different angles explain the mechanism of aftershock activity. From the perspective of the medium heterogeneity, it is universally accepted that aftershock is a result of further rupture of residual asperities. From the perspective of stress, these models, e.g. rate-state dependence, subcritical crack growth, creep or afterslip and so on, think that the fault stress change caused by mainshock is the main cause for aftershock. But other researchers, by studying real aftershock observations, think that the fault stress change caused by mainshock is not the main cause or has very weak control over the aftershocks. Pore pressure diffusion caused by mainshock fault slip is also considered as an important incentive for aftershocks. There is a relationship between the frequency of aftershocks and pore pressure changes. Dry rock pressurized in physical experiment can produce acoustic emission sequence similar to mainshock-aftershock sequence type earthquake. Though fluid plays an important role in aftershock activities, it is not the essential element for aftershock. Overall, there is no single model which can fully explain the phenomenon of aftershock activity. Assuming the rupture of the residual asperities inside the mainshock rupture plane randomly leads to the aftershocks, the size of the residual asperities conforms to fractal distribution, and the rupture or instability strength of the residual asperities accords with the lognormal distribution. Taking the postseismic stress relaxation as the mechanical load, the loading stress attenuates according to negative exponential law. Taking the Coulomb failure as the judgment criterion of the instability, combining the mechanical interactions among the residual asperities, the artificial aftershock sequence, including occurring time, location and magnitude, is simulated under different conditions. The agreement between output and the actual statistical characteristics of aftershock activities is detected by G-R relationship and modified Omori formula as a basis for further adjustments to the model parameters. On this basis, the influences of the medium viscosity properties on aftershock activities have been discussed. The results show that viscosity coefficient of rheological properties of the lower part of the lithosphere has an important effect on the duration of aftershock activity. The viscosity coefficient of the lower part of the lithosphere controls the duration of the aftershock activity, the lower the viscosity coefficient, the sooner the stress relaxation of the lower lithosphere, and the faster the loading rate to the upper part of the lithosphere, the shorter the duration of the aftershock activity. On the contrary, the higher the viscosity coefficient, the slower the loading rate to the upper part of the lithosphere, and the longer the duration of the aftershock activity. This simulation conclusion is consistent with the observed result. The viscosity coefficient as one of the important lithosphere physical parameters controls the decay rate of aftershock activity. Under this model conditions, p value, the decay rate of modified Omori law, changes with the viscosity coefficients in a negative exponential function. The relationship that the viscosity coefficient is lower and the decay of aftershock sequence is faster provides a reference for the study of the main influence factors of aftershock decay. The relationship corresponds to the observation that the decay rate of the aftershock sequence shows a good positive correlation. The b value of the G-R relationship of aftershock sequence characterizes the ratio relationship of large to small earthquakes. The modeling studies suggest that the G-R relationship of the aftershock sequence is irrelevant with the viscosity coefficient, but mainly controlled by the size distribution of the residual asperities. In another word, it is mostly correlative to the heterogeneity of tectonics and medium.