In 2018, a short-period seismic network was set up in Eryuan area of Yunnan Province to carry out continuous field observation of the sub-instability process of the earthquake. The relevant data of the Yangbi MS6.4 earthquake sequence are mainly from the waveforms recorded by this network, combined with some other stations from Yunnan regional seismic network. The Yangbi earthquake sequence shows that the events in this area began to occur intensively on May 18. A total of 2 000 earthquakes with M>0.1 were recorded from May 18 to 23, including 770 foreshocks.
Seismicity analysis shows that two clusters of foreshocks occurred successively in the adjacent area of the main earthquake in the northwest segment of the rupture strip within 3 days, then in the subsequent impending period(within 1 hour before the main shock)about 60 events spread symmetrically from the center of the fracture zone to the ends. The spatial distribution of foreshocks in different periods shows the spatial migration of local fractures and accelerated expansion prior to the main shock. The spreading speed is about 5km/d from foreshock clustering process to 96km/d in impending earthquake period. The epicenter of the main shock is located at the edge of the cluster foreshocks and the northwest end of the final rupture zone. Subsequent aftershocks extend southeastward to the whole fracture zone in about half an hour, and the final fracture zone is more than 20 kilometers long, showing unilateral propagation of the rupture. Since 2018, b-value in the Yangbi area has been stable(0.9~1.1)for the past three years. After March this year, the b-value abnormally decreased to 0.6 before the main shock, reflecting that there was a significant process of continuous increase of local stress before the Yangbi earthquake.
The identification of short-term precursors and somehow definite information is one of the focus problems in earthquake prediction research. On the basis of the experimental results, Ma Jin proposed the theory of seismic meta-instability stage based on the characteristics of the load stress after the peak value from rock experiments and the corresponding change of related physical field, and considered that the degree of fault activity synergy was a sign to determine the stress state of the fault. When the fault activity changes from the expansion and increase of the stress releasing points in the early stage of meta-instability to the connection between the released segments at the late stage of meta-instability, that is, the quasi dynamic instability stage, the stress release on the fault will accelerate, and the acceleration mechanism is the strong interactions between the fault segments. In the context that the macroscopic stress state cannot be known directly, the original intention of the “meta-instability” test area is to try to capture the characteristic signal of the meta-instability stage described by the experimental phenomenon through the deformation and seismicity of the actual faults during the earthquake preparation process. It is clear that in this stage, the fault will continue to expand in the pre-slip zone theoretically, and it will enter into the quasi dynamic fracture expansion before the impending earthquake. This theory is obviously embodied in the foreshocks of this earthquake, forming the phenomenon of rapid migration of small earthquakes as mentioned above. From the current understanding of the meta-instability, it can be seen that the seismogenic fault is in the state of overall stress release at this stage, rather than the continuous increase of stress. Therefore, the decrease of b value before the earthquake shows that local faults have been activated and entered the final stage of nucleation process. The quasi dynamic spreading phenomenon before this kind of moderate-strong mainshock displayed by small earthquake activity can be identified as the precursor of a kind of earthquakes.
The Fen-Wei rift is composed of a series of Cenozoic graben basins, which extends in an S-shape and strikes mainly NNE. Two distinct types of basins are defined in the Fen-Wei rift. The NEE-striking basins(or basin system) are bounded by active faults of mainly normal slip while the NNE-striking basins are characterized by their dextral strike-slip boundary faults. The adjacent NEE-striking basins(or basin systems) are linked by the arrangement of NNE-striking basins and horsts that is called the linking zone in this study. The segmentation of the Fen-Wei rift shows that the geometry and the activity of different rift segments are varied. The southern and northern rift segments strike NEE and are characterized by tensile movement while the central rift segment strikes NNE with transtensional motion. Previous field surveys show that the ages of the Cenozoic basins in the Fen-Wei rift are old in the southern rift segment, medium in the northern rift segment, and young in the central rift segment. The sizes of linking zones are large in the central rift segment, medium in the northern rift segment, and small in the southern rift segment. In addition, the east tip of Xinding Basin propagates towards NEE along the northern rift segment and the west tip of the basin grows towards NNE, while the shape of Linfen Basin is almost antisymmetric with respect to the Xinding Basin. However, the previous laboratory or numerical simulations cannot explain these features because they didn't pay enough attention to the control of the rift segmentation on the evolution of NEE-striking basins and their linking zones. In this study, based on the previous field studies, we study the fracture process of a clay layer under the segmented dextral transtension of the basement. The spatiotemporal evolution of the deformation field of the clay layer is quantitatively analyzed via a digital image correlation method. The experiment reproduced the main architecture of the Fen-Wei rift. The results show that:(1) The chronological order of basin initiation and the different sizes of linking zones in deferent rift segments are caused by the different obliquity angles(the angle between the rift trend and the displacement direction between the opposite sides of the rift) among the southern, northern and central rift segments.(2) The interaction between adjacent NEE-striking basins leads to the formation of NNE-striking linking zones.(3) The interaction between adjacent rift segments may cause the special distribution of Xinding and Linfen Basins. Thus, we propose that the differences of the Fen-Wei rift segments are mainly controlled by the different obliquity angles. The lack of considering the influences of pre-exiting structures leads to the limited simulation of the details within the southern and northern segments of the Fen-Wei rift. Further studies may improve the model if this is taken into account.