The fault will experience different stress states in the process from compression to final rupture(earthquake outbreak). Researchers have defined the fault in meta-instability stage as the stress changes from quasi-static release to irreversible quasi-dynamic release. Meta-instability stage is the last stage of instability before earthquake and means earthquake is sure to break out. Various rock deformation experiments in laboratory show that there are observable meta-instability stage and evident synergism activity of physical field. Observing the evolution characteristics and laws of relevant physical parameters is fundamental and helpful for identifying short-term signals indicating earthquakes. In this paper, based on the theoretical characteristics of meta-instability stage obtained in laboratory and the results of repeated absolute and relative gravity measurements in Longmen Mountains area during 1996—2007, we analyze the characteristics of gravity variation in the meta-instable state before the 2008 Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake and propose a basis or method for determining the meta-instability fault using gravity data. The results are as follows: (1)Gravity field variations of Longmenshan fault zone before the Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake showed a normal-state change during 1996 to 2001, regional anomaly occurred in 2001—2004, then an obvious reverse change appeared in 2004—2007, but the change was small and the faults were in a locking state for a year before the earthquake. The 2008 Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake occurred at the high gravity change belts and the epicenter was located near the zero isoline of the gravity converting from positive value to negative value. The patterns of the gravity variation with time match well with the linear steady-state, the deviation from linear steady-state and the meta-instability state in the process of steady-state loading to instability stage of rock experiments in the laboratory. The dynamic changes of gravity reflect the local gravity anomaly near the epicenter, thus help to judge the instability location. (2)The time series of gravity variation of some stations adjacent to the epicenter are obtained. Gravity time-series variations are disordered and irregular in the east side of the fault zone near the Sichuan Basin, but increased and decreased simultaneously since 2002 on the west of the fault zone in the observation stations over the Houshan Fault. The 2008 Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake occurred on the Houshan Fault and the distribution of aftershocks was consistent with the strike of the fault. This shows the Houshan Fault is the main instability position of Longmenshan fault zone. The instability of the fault led to the consistent change of the gravity field of the measuring stations in this area. The characteristic of this change satisfies the conditions for determining the degree of synergism which is an indicator for identifying the stress state. Combined with other research results we can confirm that Houshan Fault is in a critical state of meta-instability stage since 2002. (3)The spatio-temporal variations of gravity in the measuring stations on the west of the Longmenshan fault zone showed a synergism activity process before the 2008 Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake. It began with the gravity rise centered on station 607 and 612 in 2002 and expanded to station 606, 607 and 612 in 2006. Station 606 and 607 are located near Yingxiu Town, closest to the epicenter of Wenchuan earthquake and also in the instability area. In summary, the retrospective research on the regional gravity field before the 2008 Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake using the meta-instability fault theory indicates that the evolution of the time-varying gravity field corresponds well to the processes of rock deformation and instability in the laboratory experiment, and the time-series variation of gravity stations generally reflects the synergism characteristics of physical field, which is a key indicator to identify a fault in a meta-instable stress state. Seismicity evolution varies in different tectonic positions, so more earthquake cases should be investigated profoundly when we are trying to find the gravity anomaly related to the meta-instability stage. Next, we will carry out a profound study, such as gravity observation and analysis of fixed-point stations, intensive absolute gravity measurement, and research on gravity time series changes of measuring stations near the epicenter before and after strong earthquakes.
Most of the regions in southeastern China are covered by thick Cenozoic sediments, or are the mountainous areas, so it is difficult to find and locate the active faults using the conventional geologic methods. The precisely relocated background seismicity in the seismically active region can be used to identify the buried active structure. In this paper, we investigated the relationship between regional tectonics and background seismicity, and interpreted the possible buried active faults in southeastern China using the relocated background seismicity. We relocated the background seismicity occurring in the region from 106°E to 122°E and from 22°N to 35°N between 1990 and 2014 using the doubble difference earthquake location algorithm. More than 51000 small earthquakes were relocated. In general, the relocated background seismicity corresponds well to the tectonics, showing the zonation features with typical seismicity pattern in each tectonic regime. It is observed that in the weakly active tectonic regime, the seismicity distributes dispersely or even scarcely, while in the strongly active tectonic region, the seismicity is highly clustered and organized to lineation pattern showing the same direction as the strike of the dominating fault zone. We interpreted the buried active faults using the lineation of seismicity. The inferred active faults are observed in the southeast coast region, the northwest Guangxi Province, the southeast boundary region of the Sichian Basin, and around the Huoshan Fault, many of which were not found by previous studies. The relocated hypocentral depth varies greatly in southeastern China. The shallowest earthquakes between 0 and 15km mainly distribute in the central region, indicating that the brittle deformation process only occurred in the upper crust, while the middle and lower crust are to be half-ductile and ductile deformation. There are earthquakes occurred in lower crust in the southeast coast region. The maximum depths distribute in the southeast boundary region of the Sichuan Basin, some are greater than 40km, indicating that the crust depth is larger than other places and the lower crust still sustains brittle deformation, which corresponds to the lower geothermal value and high crustal strength.
Based on analysis of background of geological tectonic movement and strong earthquake activity, we first obtained the focal mechanism solutions using amplitude ratio and CAP method, then determined the characteristic of average stress field of the study area by inversion of the stress field. On this basis, we selected the source mechanism consistency parameter as the inspection index to obtain the latest changes of stress field in Hetao seismic zone based on its temporal and spatial analysis. Two methods were used in the stress field inversion for comparison and analysis, which are average stress axis tensor and LSIB(Linear stress inversion bootstrap, LSIB). According to the geological tectonic movement and focal mechanism solutions of MS≥4.0 earthquakes from 1970, we judge that the stress field evolution process of Hetao seismic belt is controlled jointly by vertical difference movement and horizontal shear movement, resulting in that the normal fault and strike-slip fault mechanisms are dominating.Taking into account the station layout of the study area, and in order to ensure the accuracy of calculation, we calculated 224 earthquakes focal mechanism solutions by using amplitude ratio and CAP method, including 164 earthquakes with 2.8≤ML<3.5, 42 earthquakes with 3.5≤ML<4.0, and 18 earthquakes with ML≥4.0; The statistical results on type of focal mechanisms show that, there are 142 strike-slip earthquakes(63.4%), 50 normal fault earthquakes(22.3%)and 32 thrust fault earthquakes(14.3%). In this study period(from 2001 to 2012), most earthquakes had a strike-slip mechanism in Hetao seismic belt, this is one of the inherent characteristics of the stress field.The result of average stress axis tensor and LSIB shows that, the azimuth of maximum compressional stress is 47°~52°, direction is NE-SW; The azimuth of minimum compressional stress is 313°~322°, direction is NW-SE; This indicates that, the stress field characteristics of Hetao seismic belt and its sub-block are not completely consistent. Linhe Basin exhibits coordinated stress field characteristics with Hetao seismic belt, but Hubao Basin exhibits regional differences, direction of compressive stress has clockwise deflection in Baotou area, and the compressive stress direction is NEE. This heteropical character of stress field is also confirmed by horizontal projection distribution of stress axis of historical strong earthquakes and recent moderate and small earthquakes. Since 2003, the temporal sequence curve of consistency parameter of Hetao seismic belt had a downward trend, this change was caused by focal mechanism consistency parameter of Linhe to Wuhai area, which indicates that this structural position is possible to be a priority area for stress accumulation and accelerated release in future.
In this paper, according to the synthetic gravity anomaly of a horizontally infinite cylindrical geologic body, gravity gradient in horizontal direction was calculated by potential field discrete cosine transformation in frequency domain. In the calculation, the minimum curvature method was used to extend edge lines. We found that the gravity gradient field from the potential field transformation was dependable by comparison with synthetic gravity gradient, except the data in the edges. Then, the accumulative horizontal gravity gradients before Lushan MS7.0 earthquake were calculated for the accumulative gravity anomaly from September 2010 to October 2012. In the north-south direction, gravity gradient in Daofu-Kangding-Shimian and Markang-Lixian-Lushan exhibited a positive high value, and the strike of the high value zone was in line with the strike of Xianshuihe Faults and Markang Faults. In the east-west direction, high value zone was not as obvious as that in the north-south direction. Gravity gradients in the direction along and vertical to the strike of Longmenshan Faults were calculated by the definition of directional derivative. In the along-strike direction, high gravity gradient values appeared in Markang-Lixian areas along Markang Faults and Daofu-Kangding-Shimian areas along Xianshuihe Faults, and extremum appeared in Kangding-Shimian and the area nearby Lixian. In the direction vertical to the strike of Longmenshan fault zone, high gravity gradient values appeared in Lixian-Lushan-Kangding-Shimian areas, and the extremum appeared in the area nearby Kangding. The results indicate that gravity gradient in the direction along and vertical to the strike of faults can better show the relative gravity change on the two sides of faults. Lushan MS7.0 earthquake is located at the transition zone between the two high value zones of gravity gradient. The total horizontal gravity gradient shows that the location and strike of the high value zone are basically consistent with regional faults, and the extremums of total horizontal gravity gradient appeared nearby Lixian, Kangding and Shimian.
Through numerous comparison experiments and the correlation analysis at different time scales,the present study tried to get the important basis of statistic significance in aspect of the use of real-time relative changes of MODIS BT combined with field ST measurements from thermal infrared anomalies for directly investigating the short and imminent earthquake-related phenomena.Results of correlation analysis show that:1)Significant correlation exists between brightness temperature,air temperature and ground temperature in the view of the longer cycle time scale(monthly mean),even in the case of short cycle(daily means),where the correlation is significantly lower than that of longer cycle,they still have good correlations;2)The correlation between the mean brightness temperature and the surface temperature increases gradually with the increased pixel size involved.This indicates that the atmospheric and environmental effect on brightness temperature is more obvious for single pixel.Th