SEISMOLOGY AND GEOLOGY ›› 2003, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (2): 260-265.

• Brief Report • Previous Articles     Next Articles

MAXIMUM ENTROPY PRINCIPLE AND SEISMIC MAGNITUDE-FREQUENCY RELATION

FENG Li-hua   

  1. Department of Geography, Zhejiang Normal University, Jinhua 321004, China
  • Received:2001-11-05 Revised:2002-01-06 Online:2003-06-04 Published:2009-10-26

最大熵原理与地震频度-震级关系

冯利华   

  1. 浙江师范大学地理系, 金华, 321004
  • 作者简介:冯利华,男,1955年5月生,1982年1月毕业于南京大学地质系,教授,主要从事灾害地理学的研究工作,电话:0579-2306806,E-mail:fenglh@mail.zjnu.net.cn.

Abstract: Entropy is a state function. Entropy increasing principle shows that under isolated or adiabatic condition the process of a system developed spontaneously from non equilibrium state to equilibrium state is a process of entropy increasing. The equilibrium state corresponds to the maximum entropy. In equilibrium state, the state of the system is most chaotic and disorder. Earthquake is a random event, the occurrence of which possesses extremely great uncertainty, and hence can be expressed by entropy. Earthquake occurs disorderly in different areas, implying that the seismic entropy has reached a maximum value. Therefore, magnitude distribution of earthquakes in one region for a certain time period can be expressed by the principle of maximum entropy. Assuming that M0 is starting magnitude and AM-U is average magnitude, through the deduction we can get lgn= lgN/AM-U-M0+M0/AM-U-M0-1/AM-U-M0M, where n is differential frequency, N is total number of earthquakes, and M is magnitude. The magnitude frequency relation proposed by Gutenberg and Richter according to seismic data and experience is expressed as: lg n=a-bM. Comparing the two equations gives a= lgN/AM-U-M0+M0/AM-U-M0, b=1/AM-U-M0. Obviously, the Gutenberg-Richter magnitude-frequency relation is essentially a negative exponent distribution obtained by taking the maximum value of seismic entropy under a given constrained conditions. In this way the cause of magnitude-frequency relation is theoretically explained.

Key words: maximum entropy principle, disorder, distribution, magnitude-frequency relation

摘要: 地震是一种随机事件,它的发生具有极大的不确定性,因而可以用熵来进行描述。地震以最无序的方式在各地发生,意味着地震熵达到了极大值。古登堡(Gutenberg)和里克特(Richter)根据资料和经验得出的地震频度-震级关系式实际上是在给定的约束条件下,当地震熵取极大值时得到的一种负指数分布。文中从最大熵原理得出了同一形式的地震频度-震级关系,使它的来源从理论上得到了解释。

关键词: 最大熵原理, 无序, 分布, 地震频度-震级关系

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