地震地质

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西藏波密地震活动及季节性降雨的触发作用

李梦圆1,蒋海昆2,宋金2,王锦红3   

  1. 1. 中国地震局地震预测研究所
    2. 中国地震台网中心
    3. 中国地震局预测研究所
  • 收稿日期:2021-05-06 修回日期:2021-08-10 发布日期:2021-09-26
  • 通讯作者: 蒋海昆
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划项目课题

SEISMICITY TRIGGERED BY SEASONAL RAINFALL: A CASE STUDY IN BOMI, TIBET

  • Received:2021-05-06 Revised:2021-08-10 Published:2021-09-26
  • Contact: Hai-kun JIANG
  • Supported by:
    National Key R&D Program of China

摘要: 2020年7~8月西藏波密易贡乡发生ML4.9显著震群,1个月内发生25次ML?4.0地震,引起广泛关注。1970年以来资料显示,波密震群区域地震活动时间上基本集中于每年的7、8月发生,空间上主要分布于15km?20km这样一个小的区域范围,最大地震震级基本稳定在ML4.5~5.0之间,年均地震能量释放大体上相当于1次ML4.9地震。波密震群区域地震活动与上半年降水规模及降水过程关系密切,震群活动发生于降水量峰值时段,一般起始于当年首次较显著降水过程结束之后。地震活动水平与规模以上降水开始时间早晚、上半年规模以上降水天数以及4~6月降水量增加速率等反映降水规模和降水过程的因素正相关。波密震群区域地震活动主要集中于近NE向勒曲藏布中段及两侧分支流域,夏季成为周边水体快速汇聚的区域,为每年7、8月份流体触发地震活动提供了基本条件;地震密集分布区域以石英砂岩、粉砂岩为主,相对而言具有更高的渗透率,便于流体下渗引起地下介质孔隙压力增加;地震密集区域被多条断层所围限,断层一方面具有“挡水”的功能,对地表聚集水体下渗扩散区域具有一定的围限作用,另一方面又具有较好的流体导通性,便于流体快速下渗,其中张性断层更是如此。在流体自重及地表水体载荷压力的共同作用下,流体沿断裂破碎带及具有较好渗透性的砂岩类岩石介质快速下渗,导致地下断层、裂隙及孔隙介质中的孔隙压力快速增大,断层、裂隙强度随之降低,进而导致地震活动。不同深度孔隙压力随时间变化的模拟计算结果,支持上述关于波密震群区域地震活动的机理解释。

关键词: 波密震群, 季节性降水, 降水规模和降水过程, 介质岩性, 断层构造, 地震触发, 孔隙压力变化

Abstract: A significant seismic swarm occurred in Yigong, Bomi, Tibet, in July and August of 2020. 25 earthquakes with ML?4.0 occurred during about 30 days and the maximum magnitude is ML4.9. The statistical results on historical earthquake catalogue show that earthquakes in Bomi region mostly occurred during July and August and concentrated in a very small area (about 15km?20km) in space. The maximum magnitude is basically stable in the range of ML4.5~5.0, and the annual average energy release is roughly equivalent to one earthquake with ML4.9. The seismicity in Bomi region is closely related to the precipitation scale and precipitation process in the first half of the year. The swarms occurred during the periods with the peak precipitation, and almost all the earthquakes started after the end of the first significant precipitation process in the year. The contrastive analysis shows that the strength of the seismicity is qualitatively proportional to the starting time of precipitation above scale, the days of precipitation above scale during first half year, as well as the increasing rate of precipitation during April to June. The seismicity in Bomi swarm region mainly concentrated in the middle section of the NE-trending Lequ Zangbo revier and its branches. In summer, it becomes a area for fast convergence of water from surrounding regions, which provides basic conditions for fluid-triggered earthquakes in July and August every year. The lithology in the earthquake densely distribute area is mainly quartz sandstone and siltstone with relatively higher permeability, which is convenient for fluid penetration to increase the pore pressure of underground media, and then triggering seismicity. This local area is confined by many faults. The thrust faults may act as a "water retaining wall", which has a certain confining effect on water infiltration and diffusion. The normal faults have better fluid conductivity, which is convenient for rapid fluid infiltration. Under the action both of the gravity and load pressure of the surface water, the fluid infiltrates rapidly along the fracture zone and the sandstone rock medium with good permeability, resulting in the rapid increase of the pore pressure in the underground cracks, faults and porous media, therefore lead to the decrease of the strength of the faults or cracks, consequently triggering the seismicity. Simulation results on the temporal variation of pore pressure at different depths support the mechanism explanation on seismicity in Bomi region mensioned above.

Key words: Bomi earthquake swarm, seasonal precipitation, precipitation scale and precipitation process, lithology of medium, fault structure, earthquake triggering, variation of pore pressure