Fracture zones are geological formations resulting from the strong movement of the Earth’s crust, often manifesting as fragile and sensitive areas. These zones are closely linked to natural disasters such as earthquakes and landslides. Accurate extraction of fracture zones is crucial for quantitative studies of earthquake faults, providing a scientific basis for risk assessment and decision-making in earthquake prevention and mitigation. Thus, an in-depth study to determine their distribution patterns and surface geometry is essential for understanding earthquake dynamics and mechanisms.
This paper addresses the shortcomings of existing methods in extracting fracture zones from LiDAR point clouds, which often suffer from incomplete extraction, poor continuity, and high error rates. We propose a method based on a multi-scale neural network with RS-Conv to improve the automatic extraction of fault zones in complex terrain regions. Fracture zones exhibit complex morphologies and scale features; therefore, single-scale neighborhood point sets fail to reveal their intrinsic structural information fully. Our approach begins by constructing neighborhood point sets at different spatial scales to comprehensively examine geometric features at various levels within the point cloud. The RS-Conv operator effectively portrays the spatial relationship between the center point and neighboring points. We then build a multi-scale neural network model using the RS-Conv operator as the convolution module. This model captures the spatial relationships in the point cloud, efficiently extracting deep features at different scales. The extracted multi-scale features are concatenated to form a richer and more comprehensive feature representation, which is inputted into a fully connected layer to classify the centroid and solve the fracture zone extraction problem. We compared our method with the Tensor Decomposition and Deep Neural Networks(DNN)methods using the ISPRS point cloud dataset, the Sichuan-Yunnan point cloud dataset, and the Xianshuihe dataset. Results show that our method achieves the highest classification accuracy across all three datasets. Specifically, our method’s total classification error is only 0.3%, a reduction of 0.91% -2.79%compared to other methods. This significant error reduction demonstrates the accuracy, stability, and reliability of our proposed method in handling complex point cloud data. The main conclusions of this study are as follows:
(1)The construction of neighborhood point sets at different scales reveals that the combination of these scales significantly impacts the model’s classification performance. Selecting appropriate scale combinations is crucial for optimizing the model’s classification accuracy, facilitating better distinction between fracture zone points and non-fracture zone points.
(2)Compared to traditional and machine learning methods, the deep learning network model developed in this study shows significant advantages in extracting fracture zones from point clouds. The model can automatically learn deep features from point cloud data and process large-scale, high-dimensional point cloud datasets, thereby achieving more accurate fracture zone extraction in complex terrain conditions.
(3)Comparative experiments on different datasets further demonstrate the proposed method’s generalization ability. It is effective not only in extracting fracture zones under single terrain conditions but also in maintaining stable performance across multiple terrain conditions. This adaptability enhances the extraction of fracture zones in various terrain scenarios.
In conclusion, the method proposed in this paper offers a novel approach to fracture zone extraction. It achieves higher classification accuracy compared to existing traditional and machine learning methods, effectively addressing the challenge of fracture zone extraction in complex terrain areas.
MODIS land surface temperature(LST)products are of great value in the exchange of atmospheric matter and energy, climate change research, and detection of thermal anomalies as earthquake precursors. However, due to the influence of the cloud, there are a large number of missing values in the MODIS LST data products, limiting its wide application. Therefore, in this study we propose a method of surface temperature reconstruction based on mixed model: SCLSTM(SSA-CLSTM). Compared with traditional methods, this method does not need to establish a complex regression relationship model. In addition, since CNN can fully extract local features of one-dimensional time series data, and LSTM can fully learn long-term time series features of data, the combination of CNN and LSTM is capable of fully learning potential features of data.
Firstly in this study, the trend value of LST time series is extracted by SSA model to fill the missing pixel, and the initial reconstruction of LST is realized. Then, CLSTM(that is, 1DCNN, three-layer stacked LSTM)model is used to learn the local temporal characteristics and long-term dependence of the data, and the iterative prediction of the surface temperature of the missing pixel is realized to complete the fine reconstruction of the data. Based on the experimental results in Hotan region of Xinjiang and Wenchuan region of Sichuan, it can be proved that compared with the other two existing reconstruction methods based on mixed models, the reconstructed return data error is minimum, and the consistency with the original data is the highest. The RMSE of this method can be reduced to 0.712K, the minimum is 0.695K, and the correlation between the reconstructed return data and the original data can reach more than 0.95. In addition, the reliability of the method is further verified by the measured surface temperature data of the meteorological station. In summary, the proposed method provides a new technical means and ideas for deep learn-based reconstruction work, and also provides a solid data foundation for the research of surface processes and seismic thermal anomalies.
Using MODIS MYD11A2 remote sensing data and based on the proposed new method, the reconstruction experiments were carried out in Hotan region of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region and Wenchuan region of Sichuan Province with the strategy of “remove-construction-contrast”, and the results were compared with other two mixed model methods. In addition, the reliability of the reconstruction accuracy of the proposed method is verified based on the 0cm measured surface temperature data of the weather station. The main conclusions are as follows:
(1)Through the reconstruction experiment of LST in Hotan, Xinjiang, it is concluded that compared with the existing two hybrid model reconstruction methods, the new method can better capture the time series features of LST data, so that the reconstructed image can not only better maintain the texture features of the original image, but also improve the accuracy of data reconstruction. The reconstruction error is the smallest among the three methods, RMSE can be reduced to 0.712K, and the correlation with the original data can reach more than 0.95 after reconstruction.
(2)In order to prove the regional applicability of the new method, a reconstruction experiment was carried out in Wenchuan region of Sichuan Province, and the missing values were reconstructed using the proposed method. Through this reconstruction experiment, we found that the reconstruction method in this paper can achieve better data reconstruction effect even in areas with more cloud and fog coverage, poor weather conditions, and complex land cover types, which proves the reliability and regional universality of the method in this paper.
(3)To further verify the reliability of the new method, the accuracy of the new method was evaluated by using the measured 0cm surface temperature data of 6 meteorological stations in Hotan region of Xinjiang. Based on the temporal variation characteristics of the MODIS return data from 2015 to 2019, the return values of 2020 are reconstructed, and the reconstructed results are compared with the measured data. By comparing the 0cm measured data of the meteorological station and the data before and after reconstruction, it can be concluded that the correlation and average deviation of the returned data and measured data after reconstruction based on SCLSTM method are closer to the correlation and average deviation of the original data and measured data. Therefore, the reconstructed data based on the new method can maintain a good consistency with the original data.
(4)By reconstructing the missing value regions of Hotan region of Xinjiang in 2008 and Wenchuan region of Sichuan in 2020, we found that the texture of the images after the supplementary value is fine and natural, without obvious boundary effect. Therefore, it can be proved that the method in this paper can realize the data reconstruction of a large area with missing values.
In summary, the method proposed in this paper provides a new idea and technique for MODIS surface temperature reconstruction work based on deep learning, and also provides a solid data foundation for the ground process research and seismic thermal anomaly information extraction based on MODIS LST.
Earthquake Early Warning(EEW)is the rapid acquisition of earthquake epicenter, magnitude, and occurrence time after a destructive earthquake has started to issue alerts to the public before the arrival of transverse waves and long-period surface waves. Magnitude estimation plays a significant role in EEW algorithm research, serving as a fundamental component for early warning, post-earthquake disaster assessment, and emergency response. Seismic monitoring methods primarily focus on technologies like High-rate Global Navigation Satellite System (HR-GNSS) and strong-motion instruments. HR-GNSS is capable of capturing high-precision ground deformation signals and offers the advantages of a non-saturation recording range, making it crucial for rapid estimation of earthquake magnitudes during major seismic events. However, due to the low GNSS sampling rate and high instrument noise, observational noise often overshadows the deformation signals obtained during low-magnitude earthquakes. Additionally, the sparse distribution of GNSS stations currently impacts the accuracy and timeliness of magnitude estimation. Strong-motion observation methods, characterized by high sampling rates, low noise, and dense station distribution, are widely applied in magnitude estimation. Prevalent methods for strong-motion magnitude estimation often rely on P-wave arrival time information for timely determination of magnitude, commonly used in earthquake early warning systems. Yet, these methods are susceptible to saturation effects, leading to underestimation of magnitudes for large earthquakes. Moment magnitude estimation methods are closely associated with rupture characteristics of the seismic source and hold clear physical significance. However, determining this magnitude necessitates knowledge of the rupture extent and slip distribution along the fault plane, which are challenging to precisely obtain at the moment of earthquake occurrence. Hence, such methods are generally employed for post-event magnitude calculations.
Addressing these challenges, this paper proposes a novel method for rapidly estimating earthquake magnitudes using Peak Ground Velocity(PGV)derived from strong motion. First, a comprehensive dataset of strong-motion acceleration records is compiled, covering nearly 20 years and including 5 596 records from 23 global seismic events with magnitudes ranging from 6.0 to 9.0. These records encompass epicentral distances from 1km to 1 000km, with source depths within 60km. A uniform processing approach is applied to standardize the records in terms of time domain orientation, measurement units(converted to cm/s2), and file formats. Data from each station is categorized into three directions: East-West(EW), North-South(NS), and Vertical(UD). Subsequently, the data is converted into the Seismic Analysis Code(SAC)file format, which is specialized for digital seismic waveform data exchange. Ensuring accurate PGV measurements from strong-motion data involves meticulous data preprocessing. This includes removing the mean acceleration from the first 5 seconds before the seismic event for simple bias correction, followed by baseline correction using a high-pass filter with a cutoff frequency of 0.02Hz. The preprocessed strong-motion acceleration records are then integrated to obtain velocity, enabling the measurement of PGV. A robust PGV-based magnitude estimation model, suitable for rapid earthquake magnitude estimation, is constructed using the least-squares regression method.
Furthermore, the constructed PGV-based magnitude estimation model undergoes comprehensive experimental analysis. Initially, the residuals between observed PGV values from 5596 strong-motion records and PGV values predicted by the regression model are computed to evaluate the precision of the constructed PGV-based magnitude estimation model. The model is validated using four earthquake events not included in its construction: the 2021 Damasi MW6.3 earthquake, the 2012 Nicoya MW7.6 earthquake, the 2008 Wenchuan MW7.9 earthquake, and the 2014 Iquique MW8.2 earthquake. This validation process assesses the reliability of the constructed magnitude estimation model. Finally, the paper conducts a study on rapid magnitude estimation to evaluate the timeliness and accuracy of the PGV-based magnitude estimation model within this context.
The experimental results indicate that the predicted values of strong-motion PGV are largely consistent with the observed values for 23 seismic events, with a root mean square error of residuals measuring 0.296. For the four seismic events that were not included in the modeling process, the estimated magnitudes based on strong-motion PGV correspond closely to the moment magnitudes reported by the United States Geological Survey(USGS). The absolute deviations for these events are 0.15, 0.14, 0.05, and 0.13 magnitude units, with an average absolute deviation of 0.12 magnitude units. In the investigation of rapid magnitude estimation, the following outcomes were observed: For the Damasi MW6.3 earthquake, an initial magnitude of 5.03 was calculated at 13 seconds, approaching the theoretical magnitude at 63 seconds, and reaching a convergent magnitude of 6.09 at 76 seconds. Regarding the Nicoya MW7.6 earthquake, a preliminary magnitude of 4.57 was computed within 6 seconds, approximating the theoretical magnitude at 30 seconds, and converging to 7.46 at 50 seconds. In the case of the Wenchuan MW7.9 earthquake, a preliminary magnitude of 4.06 was determined within 19 seconds. At 50 seconds, the calculated magnitude approached the theoretical value, and it converged to 7.81 at 84 seconds. For the Iquique MW8.2 earthquake, an initial magnitude of 6.45 was estimated within 2 seconds, nearing the theoretical magnitude at 55 seconds, and achieving a convergent magnitude of 8.04 at 70 seconds. The convergence time for rapid magnitude estimation for all four events was consistently under 90 seconds.
This experimental findings underscore the applicability of the constructed PGV-based magnitude estimation model for rapid earthquake magnitude estimation. The model's ability to counter saturation effects and prevent magnitude underestimation reinforces its robustness and offers substantial technical support for earthquake early warning systems and post-earthquake emergency response strategies.
As one of the most serious geological disasters, earthquake is of sudden and destructive characteristic. Therefore, it is of great significance to earthquake monitoring and early warning. The phenomenon of surface thermal infrared radiation enhancement is a common precursor of moderate and strong earthquakes and has been used as an important reference information for early warning and short term prediction. A variety of explanations have been given to understand internal mechanism of the above phenomenon, in which the stress-induced heating hypothesis is widely accepted and has been confirmed in the laboratory rock mechanical loading experiments, that is, under ideal conditions in the laboratory, the rock heats up when it is pressed and cools down when it is stretched. Under field conditions in practice, however, weak seismic precursors of thermal anomalies are often interfered by various environmental factors(solar radiation, atmospheric movement and human activities, etc.), and it has not been investigated whether the corresponding relationship between the above crustal compression-extension motions and thermal radiation anomalies can be observed under field conditions. The earth's gravity field, as one of the basic physical fields of the earth, contains the density distribution of crustal structure, which can be served to study the migration of the earth's material, the deformation of the crust and the change of the stress field. In this paper, we use GRACE gravity and MODIS thermal infrared remote sensing data to verify the stress-induced heat hypothesis in the field with Wenchuan earthquake as the time node. Firstly, the crustal mass density obtained by GRACE satellite was compared with thermal infrared radiation. Then, the gravity anomalies extraction method based on maximum shear strain and in-situ temperature method were used to obtain the gravity anomalies and thermal anomalies respectively. Furthermore, the correlation between the two anomalies before the earthquake was detected from the time scale and space scale respectively, and the consistency analysis between the above anomalies and the spatial distribution of the tectonic fault zone was carried out. For this purpose, two important indicators i.e., anomaly intensity and anomaly distribution, were established in time domain and space domain, respectively. The following conclusions could be drawn: 1)The stress-induced heating hypothesis can be verified by remote sensing in field conditions. The warming zone of the crust(positive thermal offset index)corresponds to the compression zone, and the cooling zone(negative thermal offset index)corresponds to the stretching zone. The consistency of positive and negative variation between the crustal mass density and thermal offset index is 88.9%, which provides field observation evidence for the stress-induced heating hypothesis. 2)The spatio-temporal variation of gravity anomalies and thermal anomalies before earthquake has strong correlation. In the time domain, there is a strong correlation between the gravity anomalies and the thermal anomalies, which shows that the intensity of the two anomalies suddenly increases synchronously and reaches the maximum simultaneously three months before the earthquake. In the spatial domain, gravity anomalies mostly occur at the junction of positive and negative values of thermal offset index, which indicates that the spatial distribution of gravity anomalies and thermal anomalies also has a certain correlation. In addition, the two anomalies appear to be distributed along the fault zone for many times, which shows that they are closely related to tectonic activities.
With the recent development of geodetic observation theory, the increasing satellite platforms and the progress of related technology, InSAR is emerging as a new data source and useful tool for remotely-based geodetic observations. More importantly, InSAR observations play an increasingly irreplaceable role in the field of coseismic deformation observations, earthquake emergency responses, earthquake hazard evaluation and seismogenic structure research. Particularly, InSAR is the most commonly used tool in coseismic deformation measurements on the Qinghai-Tibetan plateau or other global seismic zones, where GPS data are sparse or inaccessible in some cases. Specifically, InSAR measurements help us to respond in time after disastrous earthquakes and provide valuable information associated with how the surface of the crust deforms due to large earthquakes. In the area of scientific research, InSAR provides products of surface deformation observations and serves as model constraints kinematically or dynamically in identifying the buried faults, studying the characteristics of seismogenic faults, obtaining three-dimensional displacements, and investigating the relationship between earthquakes and tectonic structures. InSAR observations and its deformation products have the technical advantages of large spatial scale, high precision and in-time, compared to other geodetic measurements. Consequently, InSAR has the ability to provide scientific and technological support for earthquake emergency observations, and meeting the practical needs of earthquake disaster reduction on the Qinghai-Tibetan plateau.
In this review, we mostly limit our focus to the application of InSAR technology in earthquake cycle deformation monitoring in different structural settings on the Qinghai-Tibetan plateau. We also summarize the InSAR-based studies on fault kinematics and seismogenic structures related to some noted earthquakes on the Qinghai-Tibetan plateau. We highlight how the applications of InSAR data can greatly promote earthquake science and can be used as routine observations in some important areas. Then proceed to discuss the cutting-edge development trend and some new challenges of InSAR technology, which are frequently discussed and investigated, but not well resolved, in recent applications. The endeavors in increasing the precision of small-magnitude deformation measurements and expanding the InSAR data volumes can make the scientific objectives of earthquake disaster reduction on the Qinghai-Tibetan plateau and its surrounding areas feasible and reliable. To better understand how InSAR observations have changed the way we study earthquakes, we summarize the development, commercialization, insights, and existing challenges associated with InSAR coseismic deformation measurements and application in recent two decades.
The occurrence of earthquakes is closely related to the crustal tectonic movement and the migration of earth mass, which consequently cause the changes of the earth‘s gravitational field. Global time-varying gravity field data obtained by GRACE gravity satellite can be used to detect pre-seismic gravity anomalies. For example, gravity signals caused by several large earthquakes, such as the 2005 MW8.6 Indonesia earthquake, the 2010 MW8.8 Chile earthquake and the 2011 MW9.0 Japan earthquake, have been successfully extracted using GRACE data. However, previous studies on GRACE satellite-based seismic gravity changes focused more on the dynamics of the co-seismic gravity field than on the pre-seismic gravity anomalies which are of great significance for the early warning of earthquakes. Moreover, the commonly adopted difference disposal of the gravity field with the gravity field of adjacent months or the average gravity field of many years when obtaining gravity anomalies cannot effectively remove the inherent north-south stripe noise in GRACE data. On the contrary, it is more likely to cause the annihilation of the medium-high order information in GRACE gravity field model, which results in the loss of some gravity information related to tectonic activities. To explore the pre-seismic gravity anomalies in a more refined way, this study proposes a method of characterizing gravity variation based on the maximum shear strain of gravity, inspired by the concept of crustal strain. In other words, the gravity strain tensor is obtained by further calculating the second-order gradient of the increment of disturbance potential after the removal of hydrological disturbance, and then the maximum shear strain of gravity is ultimately generated to characterize the pre-earthquake tectonic activities. Then, to better understand the seismogenic process of the fault zone by further extracting the pre-earthquake anomalous changes, the data of the maximum shear strain time series are analyzed in this study by means of the offset index K to describe the gravity anomaly. Because the maximum shear strain is calculated by the second-order gradient of GRACE gravity field, this method can suppress the stripe noise better than the difference disposal, thus effectively improving the sensitivity of gravity anomaly detection. The exploratory experiments are carried out in the Tibetan plateau and its surrounding area, which locates among the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean and Eurasia, with the highest altitude, most complex topography and frequent strong earthquakes. Ultimately, the Wenchuan earthquake and Nepal earthquake were used as an example to complete the extraction of pre-earthquake gravity anomaly information by the above method, and the pre-earthquake tectonic activity of the fault zones was analyzed. The results show that a large area of gravity anomalies consistent with the spatial distribution of the fault zone appeared on the Longmenshan fault zone during the half a year before the earthquake, and the maximum anomalous value appeared within 50km from the epicenter, while no anomalies appeared during the non-earthquake period. In addition, compared with the traditional methods, the proposed method has a better ability to extract anomaly information of gravity field, which provides a new idea for understanding the dynamic mechanism of large earthquakes using GRACE data.
The reliability of anomaly extracting methods is crucial for pre-seismic thermal anomalies research. However, there is a lack of relevant researches. We compared two commonly used anomaly extracting methods, Z-score(ZS)and Robust satellite technology(RST)method, taking the 2014 Yutian earthquake as a typical example and the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake as a validation. The four aspects of extracted results are compared qualitatively and quantitatively, including the extraction effect, sensitivity to slight change, suppression of background information and indication of seismic information in the actual earthquake case. Moreover, the extracted results of validation case are used to validate the reliability of typical case results. Many intermittent anomalies in surface temperature and outgoing longwave radiation appeared before Yutian earthquake. The frequency of anomalies increases with the proximity of earthquake. The spatial distribution of surface temperature and outgoing longwave radiation anomalies gradually concentrated around the fault zone at the same time. The largest surface temperature and outgoing longwave radiation anomalies occurred one month before Yutian earthquake. The difference between the extraction results of ZS and RST method is mainly manifested in the frequency and amplitude of anomaly changes. The frequency and amplitude of anomaly changes obtained by RST method are higher than those obtained by ZS method. To further explore the reason for these differences, we further evaluate the two methods quantitatively by combining the data of two non-seismic years before and after Yutian earthquake respectively. The sensitivity of anomaly extraction method represents its ability to identify the slight changes of thermal parameters caused by the seismogenic process. The two methods are sensitive to slight changes, but the RST method is better than ZS method. The background information represents normal variation in surface temperature and outgoing longwave radiation caused by non-seismic factors. Suppression of background information determines the accuracy of extraction results. The comparison results show that both methods have certain suppression effect to background information, but the ZS method is better. The spatial distribution of pre-seismic thermal anomalies is an important index for predicting earthquake information(e.g. time of occurrence and location of epicenter). The results of quantitative comparison through normalized distance index show that for surface temperature data, ZS method is slightly better than RST method in indicating the location of epicenter. However, RST method is better for outgoing longwave radiation data. The maximum value of normalized distance index of ZS method occurred closer to the origin time of earthquake. We used the same quantitative evaluation method for the validation earthquake case. The verification results show that in addition to the sensitivity to anomaly changes, the comparison results of the two earthquake examples are similar in terms of the ability to suppress background information and indicate earthquake information. The difference is that ZS method has a better ability to suppress background information and RST method is better in indicating earthquake epicenter in the verification earthquake example. The main reason for the difference in extraction effect between the two methods is that the RST method averages the ground feature classification, and the difference between the observed value and the average value of the classification makes the RST method have a certain amplification effect on the weak signal. The difference between the typical earthquake case and the verification earthquake case is mainly due to the different complexity of the object types in the regions. Based on the above research results, we believe that ZS method and RST method have certain ability to extract pre-seismic anomalies. However, comparatively speaking, the RST method also has a good effect on the extraction of anomalies caused by other factors, and there is uncertainty in the ground feature classification. We believe that ZS method is a more appropriate and simple anomaly extraction method in the general seismic anomaly change extraction.
According to the structure of the Himalayan orogenic belt, a low-angle antilistric thrust-slip fault model is used to simulate the ramp on the rupture portion of the Main Himalayan Fault. Based on descending Alos -2 and Sentinal -1 data, we invert for the coseismic slip models of the Gorkha earthquake and its largest aftershock, Kodari earthquake. In contrast to the inversion using Alos -2 or Sentinal -1 separately, the joint inversion of both data sets has stronger constraint for the deep slip and can obtain more details in Gorkha earthquake. The rupture depth obtained by joint inversion can be as deep as 24km underground, cutting across the locking line to the transition of locked and the creeping zone. The largest slip is as large as 4.5m appearing 17km underground and the dip angle is between 3°and 10°. Gorkha and Kodari earthquakes have the similar focal mechanisms, both of which are mainly thrusting, and yet some right-lateral slip component in Gorkha earthquake. The inversion results reveal that slip models of the Nepal mainshock and its largest aftershock are complementary in space and the Kodari earthquake occurs in the gaps of slip in Gorkha earthquake. The epicenter of the Kodari earthquake is just right in the transitive zone of the positive and negative Coulomb stress change, where the Coulomb stress change can reach 0.4MPa. We thus argue that Kodari earthquake has been triggered by the Gorkha earthquake.
The 2008 Gaize MW6.4 earthquake,occurring on the tensional active fault zone located between Lhasa terrane and Qiangtang terrane in the interior of Tibet is a typical normal-faulting event.In this paper,we resolve the three-dimensional coseismic displacement fields of the earthquakes using a least-square iterative approximation solution with a priori knowledge,according to the theoretical basis that InSAR measurements are extremely insensitive to N-S component.Results show that the boundary dividing the two sides of the main-shock fault is very clear in the vertical movement,and two remarkable subsidence centers can be observed on the hanging wall,while amplitude of the west one (-48.9cm) is larger than the east (-41.4cm),but the maximum uplift on the footwall is only 5cm.In addition to some northward movement with amplitude less than 5cm around the aftershock fault,the north-south deformation field suggests an overall southward movement.The three-dimensional results indicate that the induced surface movement is predominantly vertical and mostly occurred on the upper side,while there are obvious east-west separation and eastward rotation in the horizontal plane.The full vectors are consistent with simulated deformation field with the RMSE less than 6cm,so the research demonstrates the feasibility of the method to recover precise three-dimensional deformation field.On the whole,the three-dimensional deformation field coincides with the tensile fracture characteristics of Gaize earthquakes,and the tectonic stress background of coeval east-west extension and north-south shortening.
There are thermal infrared anomalies(TIA)before earthquake, and TIA has become one of the important parameters for assessing regional earthquake risk. However, not all of the surface infrared anomalies are related to tectonic activities or earthquakes. How to eliminate the influence of non-structural factors and extract the weak signals from strong disturbances is the key and difficult point for tectonic activities studies based on the thermal infrared remote sensing techniques. Land surface temperature(LST)background field is the basis for thermal infrared anomalies extraction. However, the established background fields in previous researches cannot eliminate the influence of climate changes, so the accuracy of thermal anomaly extraction is limited. Now an improved method is proposed. Combined with the periodic character of LST time series, harmonic analysis is lead into the process of LST background field establishment. Specifically, the yearly trend of LST is fitted based on Fourier Approximation method. As a new background field, the yearly trend is dynamic, includes the local and the yearly information. Then, based on the rule of "kσ", the earthquake anomalies, calculated by RST with the yearly trend of LST, can be extracted. At last, the effectiveness of the algorithm can be tested by the quantitative analysis of anomalies with anomaly area statistics, anomaly intensity statistics and distance index statistics. The Wenchuan earthquake was discussed again based on the proposed algorithm with MODIS land temperature products in 2008. The results show that, there were obvious pre-earthquake thermal anomalies along the Longmen Mountains faults with a longer time; but there were no anomalies when the earthquake happened; and the post-earthquake thermal anomalies occurred with much smaller amplitudes and scopes. Compared with the results derived from the traditional RST which is based on the spatial average of LST values, the TIA extracted by the new RST, which is based on the yearly trend of LST, is more fit with the active faults, and the process of the anomalies occurring and removing can be described in more detail. Therefore, as the background field to extract earthquake anomalies, the yearly trend of LST is more reliable.
We achieved the coseismic displacements of the Napa MW6.1 earthquake located in California US occurring on 24 August 2014 by using InSAR data from the newly launched ESA's Sentinel-1A satellite. The 30m×30m ASTER GDEM was used to remove the terrain effect, and phase unwrapping method of branch-cut algorithm was adopted. In order to obtain a better coseismic displacement field, we also tested 90m×90m SRTM data to remove the terrain effect and Minimum Cost Flow algorithm to unwrap the phase. Results showed that the earthquake caused a significant ground displacement with maximum uplift and subsidence of 0.1m and -0.09m in the satellite light of sight(LOS). Based on the Sentinel-1A dataset and sensitivity based iterative fitting(SBIF) method of restrictive least-squares algorithm, we obtained coseismic fault slip distribution and part of the earthquake source parameters. Inversion results show that the strike angle is 341.3°, the dip angle is 80°, rupture is given right-lateral fault, average rake angle is -176.38°, and the maximum slip is ~0.8m at a depth of 4.43km. The accumulative seismic moment is up to 1.6×1018N·m, equivalent to a magnitude of MW6.14.
Earthquake prediction is one of the key areas of earthquake research. Thermal infrared abnormity, which is the abnormally increased land surface temperature, is universal before earthquake and has complex nonlinear relation with the three elements of earthquake. Combining the advantage of neural network, this paper provides a method for earthquake prediction by taking thermal anomaly as information source and constructing a neural network to carry out the test. Based on the MODIS data which has synthesis of eight days with 1km resolution, taking a 10°×10° rectangle, whose center is the epicenter, as research area, and a two-month time before earthquake as the time range, we used RST algorithm to extract thermal anomaly information before earthquake. Considering the time-space relationship between thermal anomaly information and the fault zone, thinking carefully about the information of the neural network input neurons, we constructed BP neural network and used 100 earthquake cases with magnitudes larger than 5, and 70 random samples without earthquake in the research region for training and simulating. According to the statistical analysis, the prediction accuracy is 80%, missing prediction rate is 20%, and false prediction rate is 13.3%. Prediction accuracy of magnitude with error within magnitudes of 2 is 69%, prediction accuracy of earthquake origin time with error within 30 days is 87.5%, and prediction accuracy of epicenter location with error within 3°is 81.2%. The result shows that BP neural network-based earthquake prediction is feasible by using thermal infrared abnormal precursor extracted by RST method. However, in this experiment, the determination of the start time of thermal abnormity, the origin point and range of research area are based on the known epicenter location and time. In fact, the result depicts a non-linear relationship between earthquake and thermal abnormity, and the accuracy of prediction reflects the correlation degree. Therefore, the prediction accuracy of future earthquake may be not as large as our result. For future earthquake prediction, accurate selection of research area and neuron number of hidden layer in neural network has great influence on prediction result.
The variance component estimation method (VCEM) in generalized surveying adjustment theory, which realizes optimal weights allocation for different data sources, is applied to jointly invert two independent datasets, InSAR and GPS, for 3-D deformation field acquisition in this paper. Illustrated by the case of the Wenchuan earthquake, 3-D deformation field in high coherent area near the fault is achieved by using this method, which shows clearly a whole picture for the locations of right-lateral and thrust components movements generated by the earthquake. The 3-D deformation results are quantitatively consistent with GPS observations with RMS errors less than 5cm in 3-D directions, which demonstrates the feasibility to acquire precise 3-D deformation field by employing VCEM to fuse independent deformation datasets.
Strong earthquake-induced landslides in mountainous region often cause serious damages to buildings, transportation route, lifeline engineering etc. It is one of the major reasons causing significant casualties and economic losses of property. For such serious and wide range disasters, doing classification for earthquake-induced landslide hazard zones is one of the effective methods for reducing losses. This paper, based on former studies, takes Lushan earthquake on April 20, 2013 as a sample and selects Lushan County, Baoxing County and the surrounding area, which were influenced seriously by landslide, as a study area. This paper takes comprehensive indexes method to classify earthquake-induced landslide hazard zones for this area. There are 5 impact factors, including lithology, slope, seismic intensity, distances from faults and distances from drainages, are selected and weight is determined for each factor by AHP (the Analytic Hierarchy Process). The study area then is classified into 4 levels of hazards zones by comprehensive indexes method to indicate possibilities of triggering landslide in region under the suffering from given seismic intensities. The paper makes a comparison between the existing landslide sites map and the earthquake-induced landslide hazard zoning map. The results show a relatively high match between the two maps (about 77% landslide sites are in the higher hazard zones and highest hazard zones). This research will provide a reference for emergency response of earthquake-induced landslide disaster, prediction of earthquake-induced landslides in mountainous area and prevention of landslide disaster.
In the past few years, the improved InSAR technology based on time series analyses to many SAR images has been used for measurement of interseismic deformation along active fault. In the paper, we first made a summary and introduction to the basic principle and technical characteristics of existing Time Series InSAR methods(such as Stacking, PSInSAR, SBAS). Then we presented a case study on the central segment of Haiyuan Fault in west China. We attempt to use the PS-InSAR(Permanent Scatter InSAR)technique to estimate the motion rate fields of this fault. We processed and analyzed 17 scenes of ENVISAT/ASAR images in descending orbits from 2003-2010 using the PS-InSAR method. The results reveal the whole movement pattern around the Haiyuan Fault and a remarkable velocity gradient of about 5mm/a across the central segment of the fault. The motion scenes are consistent with left-lateral strike-slip. On this basis, we make a discussion on some issues about observation of fault activity using Time Series InSAR methods, such as the changes of LOS deformation rates with fault strike and region width observed across a fault, fault reciprocity and motion style indicated by Time Series InSAR rate map and the relationship between the InSAR LOS deformation and the ones from other methods. All these studies will benefit the promotion of InSAR application in detection of tectonic movement.
Vertical coseisimic deformation near seismogenic fault is one of the most important parameters for understanding the fault behavior, especially for thrust or normal fault, since near field vertical deformation provides meaningful information for understanding the rupture characteristics of the seismogenic fault and focal mechanism. Taking Wenchuan thrust earthquake for an example, we interpolate GPS horizontal observed deformation using Biharmonic spline interpolation and derive them into east-westward or north-southward deformation field. We first use reliable GPS observed value to correct InSAR reference point and unify both GPS and InSAR coordinate frame. We then make a profile using InSAR data and compare it to that from GPS data and we find GPS and InSAR observation reference point has a 9.93cm difference in the hanging wall side, and around -11.49cm in the footwall. After correction, we obtain a continuous vertical deformation field of the Wenchuan earthquake by combined calculation of GPS and InSAR LOS deformation field. The results show that the vertical deformation of both hanging wall and foot wall of the fault decreases rapidly, with deformation greater than 30cm within 50km across the fault zone. The uneven distribution of the vertical deformation has some peak values at near fault, mainly distributed at the southern section(the town of Yingxiu), the middle(Beichuan)and the northern end(Qingchuan)of the seismogenic fault. These three segments have their own characteristics. The southern section of the fault has an obvious asymmetric feature, which exhibits dramatic uplift reaching 550cm on the hanging wall, with the maximum uplift area located in Yingxiu town to Lianshanping. The middle section shows a strong anti-symmetric feature, with one side uplifting and the other subsiding. The largest uplifting of the southern segment reaches around 255cm, located at the east of Chaping, and the largest subsiding is in Yongqing, reaching around -215cm. The vertical deformation of the northern section is relatively small and distributed symmetrically mainly in the north of Qingchuan, with the maximum uplift to be 120cm, locating in the northernmost of the seismogenic fault.